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Saturday, July 3, 2010

Indiana Pacers Final Real Player Ratings, 2009-10 Season

NOTES
Every year a final Real Player Ratings Report is produced for all 30 NBA teams. Most of them are posted in late June and in early July. They are posted in alphabetic order by team starting with the Atlanta Hawks and ending with the Washington Wizards. But starting in 2010, we are making sure the Reports for the teams in the Conference Finals (and the Championship) are posted before these series begin. The final ratings for those final four teams can then be used in team grids that are very important parts of any playoff series preview.

Another important note is that the User Guide for Real Player Ratings has been revised and updated, mostly because the Hidden Defending Rating methodology was in May 2010 substantially improved to correct for small but non-negligible biases that were unexpectedly showing up. There are links to the revised User Guide at the bottom of this Report.

INDIANA PACERS FINAL REAL PLAYER RATINGS, 2009-10 Season
Congratulations and respect are due to TROY MURPHY who led the Pacers in quality basketball in 2009-10.

Congratulations and respect are due to TROY MURPHY who contributed more than any other player to the Pacers in 2009-10.

KEY PLAYERS (above the NBA average)
MAJOR HISTORIC SUPER STARS
None

HISTORIC SUPER STARS
None

SUPER STARS
TROY MURPHY

STARS--WELL ABOVE NORMAL STARTERS
Danny Granger
Ray Hibbert
A.J. Price

VERY GOOD PLAYERS--SOLID STARTERS
None

MAJOR ROLE PLAYERS--GOOD ENOUGH TO START
Tyler Hansbrough
Earl Watson
T.J. Ford

TOTAL NUMBER OF ABOVE AVERAGE PLAYERS: 7

BEST BY SIDE OF COURT
BEST OFFENSIVE PLAYER
Danny Granger

BEST DEFENSIVE PLAYER
Troy Murphy

INDIANA PACERS FINAL REAL PLAYER RATINGS
2009-10 Regular Season
--Shows the real quality of players
--Includes all tracked actions and hidden defending
--All players who have played at least 300 minutes are included here and in all other ratings to follow

Troy Murphy PF 0.934
Danny Granger SF 0.885
Roy Hibbert C 0.880
A.J. Price PG 0.868
Tyler Hansbrough PF 0.724
Earl Watson PG 0.701
T.J. Ford PG 0.700
Mike Dunleavy SF 0.686
Josh McRoberts PF 0.659
Luther Head PG 0.654
Brandon Rush SG 0.606
Dahntay Jones SG 0.542
Solomon Jones PF 0.493

SCALE FOR REGULAR SEASON REAL PLAYER RATINGS
Perfect for all Practical Purposes / Major Historic Super Star 1.100 and more
Historic Super Star 1.000 1.099
Super Star 0.900 0.999
A Star Player / A Well Above Normal Starter 0.820 0.899
Very Good Player / A Solid Starter 0.760 0.819
Major Role Player / Good Enough to Start 0.700 0.759
Good Role Player / Often a Good 6th Man 0.640 0.699
Satisfactory Role Player 0.580 0.639
Marginal Role Player 0.520 0.579
Poor Player 0.460 0.519
Very Poor Player 0.400 0.459
Extremely Poor Player .399 and less

AVERAGE RATINGS BY POSITION
Not all positions are created equal. These are estimates for ratings by position among all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more. There are very few small forwards and shooting guards who don't fit at other positions who are superstars. Most superstars are players who can play point guard, power forward, or center.

Point Guard .780
Shooting Guard .610
Small Forward .650
Power Forward .730
Center .730
All Positions / All Players (NBA Overall Average) .700

PLAYOFF GRADE PLAYERS
Playoff Grade Players have ratings of .560 and higher. Players with ratings below .560 should not play in the playoffs unless the team is forced to play them so that they have two players at a position and/or so that the team has at least eight players playing in the playoffs and/or because the coach is absolutely certain the low rating player will play better in the playoffs than he did in the regular season.

INDIANA PACERS REAL PLAYER PRODUCTION
2009-10 Regular Season
--Shows how much (of basketball value) a player really produced
--Includes all tracked actions and hidden defending

Troy Murphy PF 2189.98
Danny Granger SF 2016.13
Roy Hibbert C 1790.71
Earl Watson PG 1627.79
Brandon Rush SG 1509.65
Dahntay Jones SG 1025.18
Mike Dunleavy SF 1019.32
T.J. Ford PG 832.73
A.J. Price PG 750.99
Luther Head PG 531.83
Tyler Hansbrough PF 369.87
Josh McRoberts PF 345.22
Solomon Jones PF 332.97


=============== OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE SUB RATINGS ===============

INDIANA PACERS OFFENSIVE SUB RATINGS
2009-10 Regular Season
--Shows the quality of players' offense
--Includes all non-trivial offensive actions

Danny Granger SF 0.525
Troy Murphy PF 0.471
T.J. Ford PG 0.466
A.J. Price PG 0.465
Roy Hibbert C 0.458
Josh McRoberts PF 0.443
Earl Watson PG 0.415
Tyler Hansbrough PF 0.385
Mike Dunleavy SF 0.372
Luther Head PG 0.369
Dahntay Jones SG 0.322
Solomon Jones PF 0.259
Brandon Rush SG 0.253

THE AVERAGE OFFENSIVE SUB RATING
for all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more is .385

INDIANA PACERS DEFENSIVE SUB RATINGS
2009-10 Regular Season
--Shows the quality of players' defending
--Includes both tracked and hidden defending

Troy Murphy PF 0.463
Roy Hibbert C 0.421
A.J. Price PG 0.403
Danny Granger SF 0.360
Brandon Rush SG 0.353
Tyler Hansbrough PF 0.339
Mike Dunleavy SF 0.314
Earl Watson PG 0.286
Luther Head PG 0.285
Solomon Jones PF 0.235
T.J. Ford PG 0.234
Dahntay Jones SG 0.220
Josh McRoberts PF 0.216

THE AVERAGE DEFENSIVE SUB RATING
for all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more is .315

The breakdown between hidden and unhidden defending is available on request.

THE ALL IMPORTANT, AWARD WINNING REAL PLAYER RATINGS USER GUIDE
For complete details regarding how the Real Player Ratings are designed, how and why they work, and how exactly you can use them, see the User Guide. The User Guide for Real Player Ratings is a necessary reference for anyone who wants to truly understand the value of, the validity of, and the ways you can use the Real Player Rating performance measures.

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